Regional energy demand in Japan: dynamic shift-share analysis

Table 3 Factor decomposition of Japan’s prefectural energy demand (1990–2011)

	Rate of change in energy demand (%)	National effect	Compositional effect	Regional effect
	(i) + (ii) + (iii)	(i)	(ii)	(iii)
Hokkaido	0.50	0.28	0.29	−0.07
Aomori	0.62	0.28	0.13	0.21
Iwate	0.47	0.28	0.24	−0.05
Miyagi	1.06	0.28	0.38	0.40
Akita	0.97	0.28	0.39	0.29
Yamagata	0.63	0.28	0.50	−0.15
Fukushima	0.58	0.28	0.28	0.02
Ibaraki	0.82	0.28	−0.28	0.83
Tochigi	0.82	0.28	0.16	0.38
Gunma	0.47	0.28	0.20	−0.02
Saitama	0.80	0.28	0.46	0.05
Chiba	0.05	0.28	−0.45	0.22
Tokyo	0.55	0.28	0.89	−0.62
Kanagawa	0.55	0.28	−0.07	0.33
Niigata	0.42	0.28	0.16	−0.02
Toyama	−0.18	0.28	0.00	−0.46
Ishikawa	0.71	0.28	0.53	−0.10
Fukui	0.63	0.28	0.34	0.01
Yamanashi	0.92	0.28	0.49	0.15
Nagano	0.50	0.28	0.40	−0.18
Gifu	0.57	0.28	0.25	0.04
Shizuoka	−0.20	0.28	0.03	−0.52
Aichi	0.16	0.28	−0.01	−0.12
Mie	−0.35	0.28	−0.42	−0.21
Shiga	0.34	0.28	−0.04	0.09
Kyoto	0.66	0.28	0.56	−0.18
Osaka	−0.25	0.28	0.29	−0.83
Hyogo	0.13	0.28	−0.19	0.03
Nara	1.06	0.28	0.60	0.18
Wakayama	−0.30	0.28	−0.37	−0.21
Tottori	1.57	0.28	0.24	1.05
Shimane	0.57	0.28	0.29	0.00
Okayama	−0.06	0.28	−0.60	0.25
Hiroshima	−0.04	0.28	−0.24	−0.09
Yamaguchi	0.87	0.28	−0.53	1.12
Tokushima	0.23	0.28	0.06	−0.11
Kagawa	0.15	0.28	−0.05	−0.08
Ehime	0.69	0.28	−0.22	0.63
Kochi	0.36	0.28	0.10	−0.02
Fukuoka	−0.11	0.28	0.04	−0.43
Saga	1.43	0.28	0.38	0.77
Nagasaki	0.44	0.28	0.42	−0.26
Kumamoto	1.25	0.28	0.34	0.63
Oita	0.24	0.28	−0.61	0.57
Miyazaki	0.18	0.28	0.04	−0.14
Kagoshima	1.12	0.28	0.36	0.48
Okinawa	1.22	0.28	0.60	0.34

ISSN: 2192-0567